False Breakout

Context:

The daily low heading into New York session is at 8am (5th March 2026), this naturally sets the low as a target for the New York session price action. Any subsequent move away from this low would offer a potential short setup to look for mean reversion back to the low.

Setup:

Price moves up, towards internal liquidity if price were to sweep this internal liquidity stopping out traders of both the internal range and those newly expecting a breakout, a fade of that move would have been the ideal play.

Trigger:

Price pushes through the internal liquidity with lower volume than expected for the size of the candle body, indicating a fake move with less conviction. As soon as price was able to come back below where the stops were triggered, I entered.

Exit:

London low being taken out was the initial target with 80% taken off immediately after it was hit. The remaining 20% is trailed using the “Evolving R” concept.

Anchored VWAP Reclaim

Context:

After an impulsive move into the highs, we anchored VWAP from the most recent swing low to track fair value and potential mean reversion.

Setup:

Price broke below the anchored VWAP.
Aggressive shorts entered on the breakdown.
Watching for failed continuation and reclaim.

Entry:

Long initiated on the reclaim of VWAP as shorts pushed into it and lost control, confirmed by volume bubble activity.

Exit:

First partial taken after a 1% move as aggressive longs hit into VWAP resistance.
Follow-through produced a ~3% total move from the entry.

Sunday Shakeout

Context:

Price dumps heading into CME open (10pm, 8th March 2026) , Sunday night volatility especially into CME open are moves that can be mean reverted fairly quickly.

Setup:

Price breaches below session low with one single large bodied candle. Followed by bullish CVD divergences, meaning limit (passive) buyers were holding up price against aggressive sellers who were selling at market.

Entry:

Price breaks up out of the mini range where the bullish CVD had been forming, this break of the mini range confirmed the CVD was not “leading” and was actual absorption with legs for a reversal.

Exit:

Target was 68500 opposite side inefficiency after a series of buy stops would be triggered. Alongside confluence that 68500 round number would act as a magnet for price.

Internal Structure Sweep

Context:

Price was approaching an internal lower high (LH) structure at 71.6k. The liquidation heatmap showed a dense cluster of short liquidations sitting exactly at this level, acting as a "magnet" for price to sweep before any potential reversal.

Setup:

The trade was predicated on a Liquidity Heatmap magnet at the 71.6k inner lower high, where price swept a dense cluster of short liquidations into heavy ask limit clusters on the futures orderbook. Spot pressure bands signalled overhead resistance, while a spike in positive delta paired with a sharp open interest drop confirmed that the move was fuelled by short-covering exhaustion rather than new buyers. This high-confluence "sweep and fill" provided the perfect trigger for a mean-reversion short.

Exit:

TP 1: Taken at the Anchored VWAP (pulled from the 74k highs) as price reverted to fair value.

TP 2 (Running): Targeting the 8h Order Block (OB) below for a full structural retrace.

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