Weekend Anticipation

Context:

Price plummets on Saturday morning (28th February) following the breaking news of Iran being attacked by the USA, the entire market consensus is mega bearish. Price falls into my key support level being a “last low before a major pivot”.

Setup:

Benefit of those who are newly shorting based on the news, and the fact that they are eagerly anticipating new lows to be made, (63650 = Support). With the invalidation being 62421 (major low), If thats broken a new low is made and thesis is invalidated.

Trigger:

The immediate snap back above the low was the entry, important to note, I place a lot of emphasis on how we move into the level than what happens at the actual level itself. The aggression in which price drops into the level played such an important role in the execution. Followed by bullish CVD, further aggressive selling after hitting the level was a bonus.

Exit:

Opposite side liquidity resting at 70k when it was front run before the drop, was my clear target. Large wick, front run, general inefficiency, 80% off at 70k followed by the remainder being trailed.

Previous Month Equilibrium Reaction

Context:

Previous Month Equilibrium (pmEQ) was mapped as a key level during the Monday Market Outlook stream.

Expectation - strong reaction if revisited.

Setup:

Price traded back into pmEQ.
MMT Pro subscribers were notified as the level hit.

Entry:

Short initiated at pmEQ reaction.

Exit:

First partial profits taken after a 2.5% move into previous day VWAP.
Follow-through continued for a total 5% move from the level.

HTF tWAP Long

Context:

Higher timeframe bias remained bullish while watching for a tWAP backtest.
Confluence formed at the 0.702 / 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone.

Setup:

Price entered the retracement zone during the New York Open stream while approaching the HTF tWAP.

Entry:

Long taken live at the retracement + tWAP support.

Exit:

First profits taken after a 2% bounce.
Second opportunity came on a March anchored VWAP backtest, giving another 2% move.

If tWAP continues to hold, the expectation is continuation towards new highs.

TPO/Volume POC Discrepancy

Context:

We identified a massive divergence between the March 3rd Volume POC and the TPO (Time) POC. Markets rarely leave this kind of "unfinished business" behind; the TPO level acted as a high-probability magnet that we needed to resolve.

Setup:

The NY open flush

Volatility spiked exactly at the NY Open we got the expected "stop-run" below the local lows at the same time clearing out the naked time POC.

Entry:

Entry based on the "Exhaustion Signal." OI dropped, negative delta spiked, and spot orderbook pressure bands showed support on the bid side.

Exit:

Total move has yielded 12% so far. We scaled out at the range VAH and took major profits at the range high liquidity grab.

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