Context:

After shifting market structure, we mapped the major high-to-low leg with strong volume and pulled the 0.786 retracement on the MTF. That 786 aligned cleanly as a reaction level. Price was pushing into it with aggressive longs, which made the area interesting.

Setup:

We saw continuation into the 786 with longs pressing higher, but they failed to hold above the level. Once those longs were left trapped above and price rotated back below the 786, the reclaim failure gave us the short thesis.

Entry:

Short entry came on the loss of the 786 after the failed acceptance above it. One of the easier trades structurally, invalidation was tight and clearly defined just above the level, making risk management straightforward.

Exit:

First profits were secured at equal lows (~2% move), which was the logical liquidity target.

The remainder was managed into the drop, with additional profits taken around the anchored VWAP.

Total reaction from entry: roughly 5%.

Context:

Price had been rangebound prior to New York session (12th February). Allowing for a build up of positioning either side heading into the open.

Setup:

The key level of interest being the Close session high from the day before. The theory being that if price gets to this level, people will be anticipating a breakout, piling in with new longs.

Entry:

The entry came as price closes back below the close session high and immediately puts the new longs offside, it triggered an entry. It is really important to understand that if there was no new longs, there would be no fuel for a short term reversal, therefore making the new longs one of the key triggers.

Exit:

80% was taken off at the inefficient low from previous day with the remainder trailing until local structure for the trade was broken.

Context:

The market was testing a high-confluence zone on Monday, Feb 16th. We were looking at a mini upper range deviation of the Value Area High (VAH)

that aligned perfectly with a trend line backtest (previously acting as support). The primary interest in this area was driven by

stacked selling imbalances. These emerged immediately after a failure of prior buying imbalances—a classic signal that aggressive buyers had

been overwhelmed and a trend reversal was underway.

Setup:

As price pushed into the VAH deviation, we observed a massive positive Delta spike accompanied by a sharp drop in

Open Interest (OI) at the highs. This divergence indicated that the move higher was fuelled by liquidations and stopped-out shorts

rather than new aggressive buying. While the move looked "bullish" on the surface, the order book was

actively stacking limit sell orders above the high, creating a heavy wall of resistance that price could not penetrate.

Entry:

The short trigger was pulled as soon as price rotated back into the stacked selling imbalance zone after the high was established

Because the order book was stacked with limit resistance bellow the entry, it provided a high-conviction "ceiling" that allowed for a tight stop-loss.

Exit:

Take Profit 1: Secured a portion of the position at the nearest liquidity pool below the 68k lows.

Runner: The remainder was managed as the price cascaded, capturing a total 5% drop from the entry trigger.

Context:

Long setup at a Daily FVG and Anchored VWAP. This specific AVWAP had already provided multiple clean reactions within the current range.

Setup:

Price tapped the zone with high negative Delta and dropping OI, signaling a massive long liquidation and stop loss run. On the heatmap, sell-side spoofing clusters were pulled at the exact moment of the tap, confirming the sellers were stepping out of the way.

Entry:

Entered long on the AVWAP tap based on the exhaustion signal. Invalidation was set as a fixed stop below the local low.

Exit:

Stopped out. Price performed one final liquidity sweep of the lows while I was away from the screen before rallying 2% without me. A classic reminder that high-volatility zones often require a wider stop or active management to survive the final "hunt."

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