vPOC + 70.2/78.6 Pocket Long (NY Open)

Context
New York Open live trading session. Price was grinding into a support area with vPOC, 70.2 and 78.6 pocket all lining up in the same zone. A strong confluence stack and waiting was exactly the right call. On the first move into the area net positioning showed only longs being squeezed out. That kept the trade off the table until the level was properly reached and aggression came in.

Setup
Once price came into the full confluence zone the entry was structured around the local volume bubble backtest - a cleaner entry than buying the initial low. The heatmap showed limits being stacked and pulled lower below the entry, justifying a slightly wider stop. That kind of limit stacking on the heatmap shows someone was positioning with size below.

Entry
Long taken on the volume bubble backtest as aggression into the confluence zone confirmed live on stream. Price did a mini SFP after entry before continuing higher.

Exit / Management
First target was the VWAP above - TP1 hit after a 1.2% move. TP2 at the anchored VWAP from September 1st for a clean 2% move from entry. Two pre-planned targets, both hit in sequence.

2H OB + Range POC + AVWAP Compound Short

Context
Just a few hours after the Monday morning Weekly Overview stream the trade that was discussed started to unfold. The larger developing Daily Order Block was the bigger picture idea but with a wide zone requiring bigger invalidation, the focus shifted to the lower timeframe 2H Order Block instead. The 2H OB gave a much cleaner setup with only around 0.35% invalidation while still carrying several strong confluences: a clean 2H Order Block, the small range POC from 4-7 September around 79.6k, and an anchored VWAP from the highs running through the same area. The larger Daily OB supporting the overall bearish idea in the background.

Setup
The main reason for a strong short bias from the start was spot flow. Throughout the move, Coinbase and Binance spot were consistently selling in sync - something always worth taking seriously when looking for continuation lower. Two entries on the same level, two opportunities to build the position.

Entry
First entry on the initial tap of the 2H OB after the session. On September 9th price came back for another retest of the same area - this time with the anchored VWAP from the highs lining up perfectly with the OB and POC. Short compounded on the second backtest.

Exit / Management
Price rejected nicely and moved around 2.5% lower from the entry area. Profits taken at the monthly open and lower naked daily POC. Part of the short still held for potential continuation lower - but the trade has already delivered enough to be satisfied with the execution. Tight 0.35% invalidation throughout by using the lower timeframe OB rather than the wider daily structure.

Positive Defender Candle Backtest Long

Context
A positive defender candle had printed below - showing aggressive longs with clear interest in pushing price higher. Once the perfect backtest came in and price rose, that defender candle zone became the key area to hold and a natural scalp area to watch. The level was marked and the alert was set. As price ground back down into it the setup was already ready.

Setup
Price ground back down into the defender candle zone exactly as anticipated. The candle had already shown its hand on the first touch - aggressive longs defending with conviction. A retest of that same area with the same buyers likely still positioned there made it a high probability scalp. Clean level, clear invalidation, no overcomplication needed.

Entry
Long taken on the retest of the positive defender candle zone as price came back into the area.

Exit / Management
Price moved into the defender and bounced cleanly for a 1.6% move from the level. A straightforward scalp from a well-read candle structure.

30min OB Long (Loss)

Context
A clean 30min Order Block that looked interesting for a potential long. Not a high conviction setup but enough confluence to take a small attempt. As price tapped the area some bid-side limits were providing support and spot buyers started stepping into the market. Enough signs for a long attempt - though nothing major. One concern was visible throughout: while spot buyers were being aggressive, someone appeared to be absorbing those buys. Spot CVD later turned bearish and confirmed that concern was valid.

Setup
The signals were mixed from the start - bid-side liquidity around the area and initial spot buyers stepping in on one side, absorption of those buys and a bearish CVD turn on the other. The 30min OB was clean enough to justify a small attempt with an extremely tight invalidation. When the risk is that small the trade is worth taking even with mixed signals.

Entry
Long taken from the 30min OB as bid-side liquidity and initial spot buyers confirmed enough for the attempt. Price reacted around +0.3% but never developed into the move expected.

Exit / Management
Price rotated back down and hit the invalidation. Setup didn't play out - simple as that. Stop placed slightly below the 30min OB at around 0.15% invalidation. In hindsight the stop may have been slightly too tight for this particular setup but respecting a predefined invalidation beats moving the stop once a trade goes against you. Loss kept minimal, process respected throughout. Happy with the execution even on a losing trade.

MMT makes order flow tools for serious traders. We built what we wanted to use ourselves - and now we share it with you. Try it for free https://mmt.gg