Daily FVG Reaction Long

Context:

Higher timeframe confluence guided this setup: price approaching a Daily Fair Value Gap fill aligned with previously formed buy-side imbalances, suggesting potential for a reaction and continuation toward higher resistance.

As price entered the zone, Open Interest increased steadily while negative delta printed, indicating aggressive shorts entering, a potential absorption scenario into higher timeframe inefficiency.

Entry:

After full interaction with the Daily FVG, price produced an initial ~1% bounce. Additional confirmation came from stacked bid-side liquidity below acting as support. Entry was triggered once bids were engaged and held.

Exit / Management:

Price moved slightly in favor but failed to reach the intended resistance target. Stop loss was tightened to reduce exposure. No partial profits were taken during the bounce. Price then lost momentum, broke back through support, and the position was stopped out for a small loss.

Risk Management:

Initial stop placed below the local low (logical invalidation), later adjusted closer to entry to control risk. Overall exposure remained contained.

Imbalances bounce

702–786 Pocket Reclaim

Early tap

Context:

Price tapped the 0.702 - 0.786 Fibonacci pocket late Sunday. Early reaction showed buyers stepping in, but with weekend liquidity thin and the 0.786 still untested below, patience was required. Inverse markets printed strong bullish CVD divergence, suggesting absorption.

Setup:

A slow grind into the lower band followed by a reclaim of the pocket, a classic signal that sellers could not maintain pressure. Building divergence underneath added confidence for a long.

Entry:

Long on the reclaim after acceptance back above 0.786. Stop placed below the 0.786 invalidation level.

Exit / Management:

First profits secured after a rapid ~5% expansion move. Remaining position left open to capture continuation as long as structure holds.

Slow grind along the 786

Pump out of it

Imbalance Rejection Short

Context:

Throughout the London session, price approached a key area of interest defined by a stacked, naked sell-side imbalance that had not yet been mitigated, aligning with a 15m order block at the same level. This created a high-probability zone for sellers to step in, with a very tight and logical invalidation.

Entry:

As price tapped the zone, order flow confirmed the setup. A spike in positive aggregated delta showed aggressive buyers entering, likely triggering shorts to cover, while stacked asks on the orderbook acted as resistance. Buyers were pushing directly into resting sell liquidity, a classic trap scenario providing a clean short opportunity

Exit / Management:

TP1 was taken at the nearest liquidity grab on the lows (~1.5% from entry). The remaining position was scaled out gradually while the stop was trailed as price continued lower. The move extended to roughly ~3.5% from entry.

Risk Management:

Stop loss placed above the 15m order block / imbalance zone (~0.2%), with clear invalidation if price accepted above the area. Tight risk allowed for a high R:R profile.

Feb 2 Low Sweep Long (Gold)

Context:

Gold approached the major Feb 2 low while silver had already swept its equivalent level, creating strong intermarket confluence. The move into the low came with heavy aggression, negative delta, expanding OI, and large liquidation prints, signaling fresh shorts entering.

Setup:

Classic swing failure conditions: liquidity taken, new shorts trapped, and squeeze potential if price reclaimed. Rising OI into the sweep confirmed new positioning rather than short covering.

Entry:

Aggressive scalp initiated during the sweep, with additional size added on the reclaim as price moved back above the level.

Exit / Management:

Profits taken after an ~8% expansion move. Stop moved to breakeven to protect gains while allowing for further upside continuation.

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